Research

A plan measured in evidence

What we will test, how we will judge it, and what we will refuse to claim.

Stage statement. The program is at research stage. No result exists yet, and nothing on this site reports a measured outcome.

Maturity roadmap

Eight phases, P0 to P7. Each closes with a test, not a date.

  1. P0FramingCurrent
    Scope
    Define the questions, the claims registry, the evaluation rules and the limits.
    Exit test
    Reviewers can restate the scope, claims and rejection rules without ambiguity.
  2. P1Synthetic benchmarksPlanned
    Scope
    Build synthetic models with known truth and fixed baselines.
    Exit test
    Baselines reproduce from a clean checkout and truth metrics are computed on them.
  3. P2Solver validationPlanned
    Scope
    Check the wave solver against analytic cases and published references.
    Exit test
    The solver matches reference solutions within stated, pre-registered tolerances.
  4. P3Open-data inversionPlanned
    Scope
    Invert openly licensed datasets and compare with published results.
    Exit test
    Results on open data are reproducible and compared with the baselines like for like.
  5. P4Uncertainty testsPlanned
    Scope
    Test whether the stated uncertainty ranges contain the truth.
    Exit test
    Uncertainty coverage is measured on held-out cases and reported, failures included.
  6. P5Joint inversionPlanned
    Scope
    Combine data types in controlled experiments.
    Exit test
    Each added data type shows added information in a controlled experiment, or is dropped.
  7. P6Independent reviewPlanned
    Scope
    External reviewers examine the methods, the data handling and the claims.
    Exit test
    Reviewers sign off, or list the claims that must be withdrawn.
  8. P7Pilot readinessPlanned
    Scope
    Prepare a pilot with a partner, on data they are licensed to share.
    Exit test
    Both sides accept a pilot protocol with pre-agreed success and stop criteria.

Three program lanes in parallel

Programs A, B and C advance alongside the phases, each behind its own entry criterion.

  • A · Advanced seismic imaging and scientific computing

    Entry: the solver is validated on synthetic cases (P2), then each method is compared with its baseline.

  • B · Multi-physics geophysical intelligence

    Entry: seismic baselines exist (P3), then each extra data type is tested for added information (P5).

  • C · Nano, quantum and experimental sensing

    Entry: a written feasibility and marine-limits review for each concept; nothing is built until a concept passes it.

Evaluation method

How any result will be judged before it is shown.

Baselines, like for like

Every method is compared with a baseline on the same data, with the same inputs and the same compute budget.

Held-out data

Test data are separated from training and tuning data by survey and by geology, not by random split.

Metrics

  • Positioning error
  • Held-out waveform misfit
  • Uncertainty coverage
  • Runtime
  • Energy use
  • Cost per acceptable result

We reject images without quantitative truth metrics.

Evidence ledger

Every claim on the site, with the evidence behind it. A claim appears here only once evidence exists.

The ledger is empty on purpose. It fills as results are validated and reviewed, and until then every claim on the site stays at concept.

Limitations we state up front

What this program cannot do, and what remains to be shown.

  1. No guarantee of discovery

    Better images can inform decisions. They do not create resources or promise that any is present.

  2. Resolution decays with depth

    The deeper the target, the coarser the detail the data can support.

  3. Inversion is non-unique

    Different models can fit the same data, which is why we report ranges, not single answers.

  4. Field data access is licence-bound

    Real data belong to their owners. We work on synthetic and open data until a partner is licensed to share more.

  5. AI can hallucinate structure

    That is why learned components are tested against held-out geology and cannot certify results.

  6. Drilling remains necessary

    Only direct sampling confirms what is in the ground.

  7. Shallow-water component tests are not proof of deep-water performance

    A sensor or method that works in shallow water must still be shown to work in deep water.

Publications

No publications yet. Papers, datasets and code will be listed here when they are released.

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